Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 913.852108 1035.914297 1173.184932 1339.970661 1538.447613 1768.718767 2058.485112
2025-02-02 739.820478 901.261118 1100.865007 1369.892867 1729.454460 2203.041343 2890.750386
2025-02-09 644.086247 819.669453 1049.848189 1381.417522 1860.269992 2549.376807 3661.356686
2025-02-16 569.722828 749.607516 996.340370 1371.001338 1947.412235 2841.294426 4424.074346
2025-02-23 527.519105 715.054744 983.008917 1410.184311 2107.917589 3271.763712 5536.122531
2025-03-02 495.508753 689.599663 977.234886 1456.588950 2284.526194 3765.755324 6932.103111
2025-03-09 462.657251 658.324290 957.429309 1475.383561 2415.210890 4206.899012 8392.131655
2025-03-16 429.315153 622.331933 925.205152 1467.189466 2493.841269 4565.377554 9818.435251
2025-03-23 407.533499 601.918528 915.144250 1494.917256 2643.767383 5107.415173 11951.931425
2025-03-30 374.762243 560.732222 865.988025 1444.624281 2628.801627 5283.796955 13186.559739
2025-04-06 346.671987 524.840583 822.265077 1398.561740 2613.973377 5456.608010 14507.113942
2025-04-13 320.876079 490.770920 778.582358 1347.109791 2578.637459 5571.034640 15712.329174
2025-04-20 313.108723 487.147433 789.365085 1406.268405 2805.764087 6443.128097 20261.426081
2025-04-27 301.657893 476.301513 786.152355 1437.151402 2976.304543 7231.670368 25272.299543
2025-05-04 288.915662 462.049918 775.027749 1449.539857 3104.414638 7946.500485 30749.322831
2025-05-11 274.518341 443.711965 754.384338 1438.442961 3170.677634 8496.154513 36089.788688
2025-05-18 267.338923 437.903350 757.326053 1480.129230 3386.843861 9644.912092 46655.549260
2025-05-25 261.394739 433.866474 763.276871 1529.521833 3637.430833 11049.566630 61850.470582
2025-06-01 252.876556 424.331708 757.184633 1549.534849 3808.471972 12244.368433 78502.760487
2025-06-08 242.293564 410.124119 740.221524 1540.809002 3890.849915 13119.806185 94840.880835
2025-06-15 235.885703 403.546486 738.638954 1570.339652 4102.824258 14711.900410 125263.296080
2025-06-22 222.862961 383.214311 706.176303 1516.784003 4029.687935 14901.397207 138274.533296
2025-06-29 211.121966 364.801554 676.624272 1467.762385 3963.395003 15108.074124 153044.511256